Where are the Markets Headed Next? How to handle the Volatility

BankNifty Futures: 18th was a copybook trading day and fortunately we were on the right side of the trade as well. check our pre trade analysis at (https://www.facebook.com/powertrade.trading/)

This can be primarily be attributed to conviction in the plan as much as right analysis for the plan. Why did we mention that 17140 is a key zone?( we know the market reaction once that was breached)

If you check the hourly candles there were multiple instances when that was respected and it was building up supply there. beyond that we saw a straight dash to 16900, to be honest the ease with each was broken was surprising.

BankNifty Futures Price Chart Analysis

Now whats next?  The new Trend decider now is 16940-50 levels if you observe the charts.  until we manage to hold or trade below it pull backs on intraday basis can be shorted.  Downside targets can be near 16650 or lower. It will be key to observe whether the breach today was an aberation or a build up of new trend. Hence prudent would be to see how that level is treated. If markets moves and holds above it can give a good pull back trading opportunity to the contrarian players. 

NIFTY Futures: Just yesterday we discussed that 7850 continues be the achillies for NIFTY and until convincingly taken out we are not going to see aconclusive breakout. On the downside we discussed a break of 7820 can provide a low risk trade and what a trade it was , a trade which yielded nearly 80-100 points with a 30-40 points risk.  now that NIFTY has breached 7800, 7780-7800  range will be the trend decider. If markets sustain above it expect a reversal in trends.Below it markets will continue to trade in the direction that has emerged today. 7850 will be a tough swing hurdle going forward. A break above it will only signal a resumption for the bulls

Why is it Going to be Tough for Trend Traders

Why the PullBack Today Post Results may not be a great news for Trend Traders

As again markets seemed to prove again to be ahead of the elections and the subsequent results. Now since the event is done it will be crucial to try and analyze the potential direction of the markets post the results.

In our various posts for the past week or so we had mentioned that 7950 is a potential downside target and break of that could only signal another downside trend. (http://tinyurl.com/nus8van)

The fact that markets scaled back to the levels despite a sentimental gap down proves how important that zone is. Also the fact that it didn’t take it out yet means bears may still be remotely hopeful for a potential resistance.

But what it does is brings us back to the congestion and directionless zones of 7900 on the downside and near 8150 on the upside. This will mean for the coming few sessions until either of the levels is cleared trend traders are going to find a tough time ahead.

NIFTY Futures- Post Results Trading ideas

This is also confirmed by the fact that despite expected volatility the INDIAVIX( indicator for volatility) today fell sharply and corrected -12.5% on an intraday basis.

The good part is for discretionary contrarian traders this may provide good pull back trade opportunities at a low risk with either of the upper or lower band as a stoploss.

If you intend to still trade the trend advice would be to wait for a clear of either of the levels on the upside or downside and you will get your move.

Stay updated on market analysis and potential trade ideas at either our facebook page (https://www.facebook.com/powertrade.trading) or our twitter handle (@powertrades)

Wish you all a very happy safe and a prosperous festival of lights ahead