Banknifty Set up Profile and Trade Plan Week 16Apr -2018

Banknifty marked a major consolidation in terms of the smallest weekly range on the weekly charts.

A quick recap of the previous week shows that the low marked couldn’t even get into the previous week’s value area, indicating that buyers emerged aggressively in dips. This resulted in the value area shifting higher as well significantly.

This indicates that the coming week will continue to be a consolidation zone with an upward bias for the traders.  The Banknifty PCR remains at 1.45 and the max pain at 25100. Support is likely to emerge in any dips to 25000-24940 zones and should see buyers emerging until markets cracks below that levels or breaks 24850.

On the upside resistance will be seen @ 25540-25600 zones and should see pull backs from there. Until the marked range in green and red doesn’t break in the below volume profiles charts we should see markets consolidate and set up base for the next direction.

BankNifty Near Term Scenarios and potential trade setups

Banknifty marked a good late pull back in the last week of the series to test the weekly vwap @ 24500 levels. And managed to close below it @ 24300 zones. From a monthly candle perspective, we still formed a negative candle, where monthly highs tested the Jan lows but failed to go past it.

Now here are the few trade scenarios from here:

1. Markets manage to respect immediate 24250 zones and pull back to cross 24500, it can test 24800 levels where a lot of selling pressure may emerge. Above 24800 markets can go on to test 25200 and 25500 levels.
2. On the downside if markets break below 24100 it can test upto 23800 zones. Real selling pressure may only emerge on the break of that.

What could be interesting is that markets manage to test 24100 or lower and manage to pull back to do a test of 24800 in the coming sessions. Then we can see a direction emerging.