16th of May
is the D Day. The elections results for 2014 general elections are going to be
out. This will pave way of the next government.
The entire nation
and specially the markets will keenly follow the election results. We all very
well remember what the market reaction last time results were declared was.
Most exit polls
have sung to the common tune of ab ki bar modi sarkar this time. The exit polls
have signaled a positive outing for the NDA . The projections from channels
vary from 250 odd to about 340. What is important to watch out is will NDA be
able to achieve the magic figure of 272 or get to a close distance of it. On the other hand we also know that exit
polls can go way off the mark too ( last general elections exit polls most
agencies got it way to wrong).
So expecting a volatile
movement in the markets, we all know at least that the market may not stay at
the same levels after elections. How to maximize the gains with a minimum
calculated risk potential?
Apart from our
advanced trading systems & advisory Powertrade have always endeavored to think
out of the box an provide innovative investing & trading ideas (Our long
time readers will recall our strategy of covered investing ,when we advised
investors to go long in NIFTY ETF 6200 levels then http://powertrades.blogspot.in/2013/11/investment-or-trading-in-markets-at.html)
So lets have a plan
to gain in the markets this elections.
Based on the exit
polls we want to go Long in NIFTY, yet don’t want to loose if markets crack
right?
First an analysis
of NIFTY Levels
Nifty Has
resistance at 7200 and a long term break out can be achieved above 7500 , where
markets can even hit 7900-8000 zones in next sessions if that level is cleared
Similarly Nifty has
critical support at 6900 levels and a any indication that NDA may fall short of
the magic levels will mean a blood bath in the markets.
So here is our magic
strategy to trade based on those two levels (7500 on upside & 6900 on
downside)
Type
|
Strike
|
Quantity
|
NIFTY CE Long
|
7200 CE
|
100
|
NIFTY CE Short
|
6900 CE
|
50
|
Strategy Risk
Reward:
·
Gain if
NIFTY reaches 8000: 23,566 INR Per Lot
·
Loss below
6900 (any level): -1640 INR Per Lot
This strategy is
based on the premise that markets will react either way and will not stay at
these levels and we want to be sure that we don’t lose if it falls
Alternate Long Only Strategy:
This is an
alternate strategy for players who want to earn on either side by and are expecting a big move in line with
what happened after last elections. This strategy is also a long only strategy
Type
|
Strike
|
Quantity
|
NIFTY CE Long
|
7200 CE
|
50
|
NIFTY PE Long
|
6800 CE
|
50
|
Strategy Risk
Reward:
·
Gain if
NIFTY reaches 8000: 20,461 INR Per Lot
·
Gain if
NIFTY Reaches 6300: 10,135 INR Per Lot
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