Showing posts with label INDIAN MARKET OUTLOOK. Show all posts
Showing posts with label INDIAN MARKET OUTLOOK. Show all posts

Wednesday, 25 September 2013

Nifty Review of the market movement. Analysis of Options data

Here is a quick update on what on the trading charts that we have discussed two days back. It was spot on swing trade with respect to that level. Let us discuss what is in store for the upcoming sessions.

The other day we posted that Nifty Future has resistance around 5960 levels. We mentioned that all pullbacks to that level will be shorted.  Nifty on 24th September made a high of 5962. We also mentioned that Downside target emerges at 5810-40 zones. Market today found support at 5820 and retraced back from there.

Our swing traders were short at the break of the 5960 levels and exited at 5840 just in line with the trading levels posted.

Immediate hurdle lies now at 5905 levels and trading above that markets will try to retrace back to the trading levels of 5960 on the upside. On the downside it will be better to try pull back trades on dips with stops at 5810 levels.

Fresh short trades will again be active in case Nifty future manages to close below 5800 trading levels.

Here is also an analysis and review of what the options data are suggesting since we are nearing expiry options accumulation along with price point analysis provide good levels for low risk pull back opportunity and some fantastic break out opportunities.
Here is a look at the options chart:

NIFTY OPTIONS ACCUMULATION- 25 SEP-2013





Nifty has terrific accumulation at 6000 zones.  This suggests that it is the toughest resistance zones. Hence swing traders can look to short on pull back to that trading levels. Similarly support lies at 5700 and 5800 trading levels and this will offer support zones to the market on the downside. A breach of 5800 can trigger a slide to test 5700 levels in a short time.

Monday, 23 September 2013

Nifty Outlook. Where are markets headed. Trading zones at these levels

Nifty futures have corrected sharply for the last few sessions. Some of it was triggered by a news based move and part of it coinciding with classical divergence patterns combined with price point analysis.

Here is a look at what has happened on the charts and where are we headed from here. NIFTY is approaching interesting levels here. Here is a look at the hourly charts of Nifty and an analysis of it.
NIFTY FUT SHORT TERM SWING CHARTS


Nifty has displayed a classical divergence pattern with RSI where RSI failed to make a higher high despite markets moving here. Once it failed to breach 6180 there was a look risk contrarian trade opportunity near that levels.

Since the crash that we witnessed post the RBI news NIFTY has been falling with a descending pattern across a channel. The channel low is now at 5840 zones.

The trading levels of 5840-5810 is also a support range to watch out for . swing wise this will be the key level to watch out for. This may provide a low risk contrarian opportunity.

A breach of that level can lead to a test of 5745 and 5640 on the lower sides. On the upside resistance remains at 5960 trading zones and any pull backs to that level will be resisted.

Only if NIFTY Fut manages to  close above that level can ensure a reversal of the down ward swing and a resumption of the upward move.