Sunday, 10 March 2013

NIFTY Top exactly at our swing target. What’s next? How to trade at these levels?


NIFTY FUTURE- Review of 8th Mar
NIFTY FUT –    For Friday we had clearly discussed that until NIFTY FUT manages to hold above 5860 levels , BULLS are to be in control and it was advisable to look for pull back long trades.
For the upside we wrote that NIFTY FUT has a swing hurdle zone at 5915 levels and above that targets given were on 5940 and 5975 levels.
NIFTY FUT in the morning managed to hold and trade above the 5915 levels our BEARS LAST STAND point of the day and it went on to give another strong swing day giving away good gains for both intra day traders and swing traders as well.
The purpose of publishing the trading references a trading guideline is two fold. 1. We  analyze the markets and plan for the trades without any bias or sentiments just based on price levels, swing momentums, this helps us form an idea and to document it. 2. Intraday traders were genuinally lacking a definite guide and reference to develop their trading plan and approach. The trading levels and other price or chart information shared helps to streamline one plan and keep a disciplined approach to trading.
This is to help people develop as traders. Understandably at times some traders  gets into wrong positions and everyone commits mistakes but to overcome them is to write down where we went wrong and see the factors or decisions that we overlooked. This will help to continually improve and that is the objective.

Our swing traders had a very good trade for the past few months when we correctly got the top write at 6120 and asked traders to take swing shorts near that zone.  Though jan feb was not a fantastic intraday trading month as volatility was abysmally low.
At that time we had written that the historical Weekly ATR is at a all time low and we will see increased movements sooner than later ( remember our post on where we said NIFTY weekly ATR Is now 136).

Then we mentioned that 5650 is a strong swing support and even after the budget day crash we mentioned that as well. From there on we have moved on to a gains of near 350 points , this time around it was a merryride for both intraday traders and swing traders.
Any mid term swing trader who has been trading with a systematic approach would have capitalized this move both ways. The whole point of driving this is stick to your rules and trading plan and markets will give opportunity sooner than later.

Now that NIFTY is near 5975 our swing target levels, where can it go next? Also some of our investment long positions are now sitting in near 5% plus gains. Should we exit them? Read out more on this at our analysis for tomorrow.


                                                                                                                     
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 NIFTY FUT traders went long above 5915 and gains massive gains all the way till 5970 just as per our blog. Banknifty fut traders too has a blast going long in the opening session above 12104 and booking gains all the way till 12240 odd levels. Are you looking for complete guided trading without any hassle?.. Are you still worried about your trade entries? Are you missing on these turning points entries? How about looking at our points guaranteed services. …... Where to take the next trade? Did you catch the move in the right time?.... Are you still guessing where to trade? Subscribe to our premium calls and leave your trade entry and exit worries to us. 
NIFTY FUTURE – 11th  Mar  Trading Guide
NIFTY Fut has now pulled back near 350 odd point form the lows without a major pause, while all this sounds good we need to again strap up and plan for the possibilities at these levels. Just  the other day we mentioned that on a swing basis NIFTY FUT If manages to take out 5915 has the potential to go on and test 5975 levels. This was exactly done on Friday. Now we also mentioned that 5975-6000 is a congestion zone and this will form as the next strong hurdle.
Both from an intraday and swing point of view this will be the next levels to watch out for Only if NIFTY FUT manages to take out that level it has a very high potential to test the highs of 6120 on a swing basis and probably take that out too.
From an intraday point of view NIFTY FUT if managed to trade above 6000 levels can go on to target 6040-50 zones where we may see a pause.
On the downside  NIFTY FUt will find some support in all dips to 5940 levels and only a breach of that can pull it down to test lower levels. Down side targets below 5940 emerge at 5910  and 5870 odd levels.

Many of us who bought equity positions near 5650 odd levels today are standing in massive gains and some of the index stocks have moved up anywhere from 5-7% from the lows in a very short span. So it a time to book gains? Well it depends on a few factors, one what percentage of your equity investment  capital were you invested in stocks, if it is anywhere higher than 30% , then you should.
But if its  30% of your capital since the buying price was low and today the stops are far away we may want to hold these trades and see how far can we go on long term swing basis. Remember this is for stock investment positions that we advised people.

For futures or swing trading positions, we would sit, lock in the gains  out here and wait for 6000 to be taken out and  re enter above it or look for dips.

Swing indicator wise the short term momentum indicator remains positive above 5940 levels. . The mid term momentum indicators are now positive as well and will continue to hold so until NIFTY FUT trades above 5860 zones.

Trading levels for the day:

POWERTRADE BEARS LAST STAND POINT OF THE DAY ----- 5995-6000  sustaining above which it will target 6025,6040,6090
POWERTRADE TREND DECIDER OF THE DAY ------- 5970-75
POWERTRADE BULLS LAST STAND POINT OF THE DAY------- 5935-40
Breakdown and sustaining below POWERTRADE BULLS LAST STAND POINT OF THE DAY will open target for support of ---- 5910,5880

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