Sunday 20 May 2018

BANKNIFTY Setup and Trade Plan Week Starting 21May

Banknifty bucked the trend for the past few weeks, indicating a potential near term top
formation in the charts. This weeks most traded volume at 26450 will mark a significant
resistance zone and should be the range for the intermediate top ; i.e. to mean if we hold
the theory that markets have marked a top here, this level got to be respected, else the
hypothesis falls flat.

The downside was arrested late hours on Friday , when markets took  support at an
intermediate levels, and until we break below 25650 zones we are likely to see some
consolidation and short term pullback possibly as well. This also coincides with NF, which
found a base near prev zone of 10560 levels.Now we could play out the below 3 scenarios
and plan my trade as per that-
I.pull back to test the 26050-26100 zones and keep within the range of 26150-26750 in coming sessions
II. pullback to the range of 26050-26150 and manage to breakthrough to test 26450 and higher again
III.Break through below 25750 and and test 25320 zones.

I would try and potentially trade a short term pullback as that offers a lower risk reward if we get a
favorable set up , or /and look for a pause and turn around from the 26050-26150 zones towards the
downside. Overall at higher levels keep a bias of short on rise to test the weekly lows and lower
levels of 26500-350 zones , this until 26450 is cleared.




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